Nets vs. Heat prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, Nov. 16 best bets from proven model

In Thursday's NBA matchup, the Miami Heat (7-4) will be hosting the Brooklyn Nets (6-5) for a two-game schedule. With a 78-59 lead in the all-time series, the Heat have historically had the upper hand. However, the Nets have recently asserted their dominance by winning five consecutive games against the Heat, including a 109-105 victory on November 1st. As of late, the Heat have been successful in covering the money line in 25 out of their last 41 games, while the Nets have frequently hit the first half Game Total Over in 26 out of their previous 40 away games. Unfortunately, the Nets will be missing Cameron Thomas (ankle) and Ben Simmons (hip), while the Heat will be without Tyler Herro (ankle). The highly anticipated game is scheduled to tip-off at 7:30 p.m. ET at the Kaseya Center in Miami.

In this matchup, the Heat are favored at 3.5 points according to the latest Nets vs. Heat odds from the SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is set at 214.5. Before making any bets on the game, it is wise to consult the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model, which has produced profits exceeding $10,000 for $100 players with its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons, simulates every NBA game 10,000 times. Currently standing at an impressive 80-43 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, it has returned over $3,000 in winnings. With such a remarkable track record, the model has now focused its attention on the Nets vs. Heat matchup and has just finalized its picks and NBA predictions. To see the model's picks, visit SportsLine now.

Here are the NBA odds and betting lines for the Nets vs. Heat matchup:

Nets vs. Heat spread: Heat -3.5

Nets vs. Heat over/under: 214.5 points

Nets vs. Heat money line: Miami -164, Brooklyn +137

The Heat have struggled as of late when playing at home, failing to cover the spread in their last six games. On the other hand, the Nets have been successful in covering the spread in four out of their last five road games.

Looking at the Heat, their center Bam Adebayo brings a great deal of versatility to the frontcourt. Despite being slightly undersized at 6'9, Adebayo excels as a defender inside the paint and possesses impressive offensive and defensive strength. Leading the team in both points (23) and rebounds (10.5) with a 52% field goal percentage, the 26-year-old has recorded five consecutive double-doubles. In his most recent outing, Adebayo contributed 21 points, 11 rebounds, and three steals.

Another key player for the Heat is forward Jimmy Butler, who brings tremendous energy whenever he steps onto the court. Butler is a two-way threat who can create his own shot effortlessly. Averaging 20 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game, the six-time All-Star's impact is invaluable. In Tuesday's matchup against the Hornets, Butler showcased his abilities by accumulating 32 points, four rebounds, and five assists.

As for the Nets, guard Spencer Dinwiddie serves as a dual offensive threat with incredible body control and a superb touch around the rim. The 30-year-old utilizes his court vision to involve his teammates, averaging 12.5 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game. In Tuesday's triumph against the Magic, Dinwiddie contributed 29 points, nine assists, and successfully sunk five 3-pointers.

Coming off the bench, guard Lonnie Walker IV provides an offensive spark for the Nets. Walker is an explosive and talented scorer who consistently contributes points from all areas of the court, shooting an impressive 46% from beyond the arc. With at least 20 points in two of his last four games, including a 20-point, seven-rebound performance against the Celtics on November 10th, Walker enhances the Nets' offensive firepower.

In terms of making picks for this game, the SportsLine model suggests taking the Over on the total points, with a projected combined total of 225 points. Additionally, the model predicts that one side of the spread will hit in over 60% of simulations. For all of the model's NBA picks, be sure to visit SportsLine. So, which team will emerge victorious in the Nets vs. Heat game, and which side of the spread will prevail? Visit SportsLine to discover the pick that the model is favoring, all courtesy of its advanced algorithms that have continuously generated winnings of over $3,000 since last season.